Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 76168.616564 80482.191397 84800.496632 89444.815557 94295.392286 99208.784447 104558.920507
2025-11-30 69304.813600 75898.916669 82689.885014 90196.720924 98252.679373 106628.643916 115986.039031
2025-12-07 64440.307464 72599.602738 81191.809678 90894.767680 101527.400453 112804.312773 125648.662326
2025-12-14 60224.006188 69498.836442 79451.084054 90892.427962 103649.159490 117401.821552 133315.273462
2025-12-21 56959.540989 67131.170126 78226.389848 91180.772692 105841.532286 121869.210941 140665.425704
2025-12-28 54927.241307 65953.513395 78156.236887 92598.157789 109155.836826 127477.277191 149212.603065
2026-01-04 52937.485736 64671.186773 77831.435989 93601.622515 111897.563164 132365.686178 156901.949155
2026-01-11 50970.928867 63289.039049 77279.025313 94239.372085 114133.669919 136616.613672 163827.659839
2026-01-18 48926.075024 61702.964452 76388.720624 94390.106887 115726.182359 140069.549453 169798.025223
2026-01-25 47113.626294 60302.287662 75634.175550 94624.080470 117352.416444 143516.362055 175736.315810
2026-02-01 45283.479447 58796.671562 74678.962475 94548.500822 118552.938569 146421.824839 181015.152428
2026-02-08 44061.512173 57976.088444 74496.861830 95356.690277 120774.545818 150514.638218 187698.884420
2026-02-15 42410.384391 56579.167005 73579.314702 95249.458307 121888.178320 153305.493926 192877.756018
2026-02-22 41564.159739 56153.584466 73826.633687 96549.635949 124705.703186 158151.082330 200557.806243
2026-03-01 40558.713354 55483.608691 73734.678305 97400.888564 126955.341574 162308.259451 207423.932562
2026-03-08 39225.161136 54344.166688 73010.483700 97423.410299 128150.498151 165164.780237 212706.375169
2026-03-15 38103.735758 53436.994098 72542.189928 97734.140028 129679.065533 168416.889681 218476.447767
2026-03-22 37584.374609 53291.194560 73024.178893 99235.535636 132695.667720 173512.135870 226544.760607
2026-03-29 36903.366755 52905.069155 73175.249997 100297.746329 135151.277787 177917.898391 233783.033932
2026-04-05 36092.790929 52317.589840 73040.920871 100972.659133 137103.420027 181696.103458 240256.242211
2026-04-12 35106.586640 51462.215915 72528.394002 101132.169960 138378.653895 184617.975809 245663.984681
2026-04-19 34203.945584 50691.195905 72100.894545 101379.742814 139750.993699 187656.281175 251226.114391
2026-04-26 33211.780627 49767.516397 71443.435003 101299.772542 140680.061690 190122.681763 256067.416738